Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.052342 0.056795 0.061300 0.066192 0.071346 0.076610 0.082383
2025-04-13 0.046279 0.052885 0.059799 0.067546 0.075960 0.084796 0.094748
2025-04-20 0.040177 0.048177 0.056814 0.066769 0.077867 0.089799 0.103541
2025-04-27 0.035951 0.045039 0.055126 0.067041 0.080624 0.095522 0.112992
2025-05-04 0.033054 0.043076 0.054477 0.068236 0.084223 0.102052 0.123274
2025-05-11 0.031135 0.042034 0.054707 0.070289 0.088691 0.109502 0.134583
2025-05-18 0.027149 0.038193 0.051361 0.067896 0.087779 0.110613 0.138504
2025-05-25 0.024648 0.035976 0.049788 0.067450 0.089021 0.114113 0.145108
2025-06-01 0.022464 0.033991 0.048353 0.067038 0.090189 0.117445 0.151458
2025-06-08 0.021620 0.033671 0.048941 0.069079 0.094309 0.124283 0.161978
2025-06-15 0.020544 0.032956 0.048959 0.070351 0.097450 0.129933 0.171093
2025-06-22 0.019366 0.032016 0.048617 0.071108 0.099912 0.134741 0.179199
2025-06-29 0.017835 0.030528 0.047520 0.070893 0.101191 0.138181 0.185776
2025-07-06 0.017114 0.030140 0.047864 0.072542 0.104838 0.144567 0.196005
2025-07-13 0.015623 0.028539 0.046479 0.071840 0.105428 0.147131 0.201537
2025-07-20 0.014608 0.027573 0.045913 0.072185 0.107338 0.151332 0.209098
2025-07-27 0.013978 0.027144 0.046063 0.073473 0.110464 0.157066 0.218585
2025-08-03 0.013666 0.027184 0.046866 0.075648 0.114769 0.164319 0.230019
2025-08-10 0.012007 0.024982 0.044341 0.073138 0.112783 0.163488 0.231243
2025-08-17 0.011053 0.023851 0.043320 0.072673 0.113488 0.166082 0.236780
2025-08-24 0.010181 0.022792 0.042355 0.072241 0.114201 0.168663 0.242292
2025-08-31 0.010016 0.022928 0.043191 0.074390 0.118445 0.175868 0.253759
2025-09-07 0.009663 0.022711 0.043471 0.075729 0.121580 0.181635 0.263409